The 'UOCAVA' ballot requests, broken out by military and 'overseas citizens,' show a surge in requests from non-military voters compared to 2020. Plus, corrections and improvements to note.
Military voters are defined as US military personnel and their family members who are US citizens and residing more than 25 miles away from their legal "home of record" residence.
Overseas Civilians are defined as US citizens who are located outside the United States.
1) The ratio of Military to Overseas Civilian voters was 3:2 during 2020 early voting (about 36000 military voters, about 24000 overseas civilians); the current 2024 early voting ratio about 2:1 Overseas Civilians (16000) to Military (9000)
2) 80% of the 2024 early voting voters characterized as "Overseas Civilians" are receiving mail via a US Postal Service office within the United States (i.e., the voters are mischaracterized as Overseas Civilians).
3) The ratio of Military to Temporary (Federal Only Ballot) voters was 4:1 in 2020 - 4 military voters to 1 Temporary (Federal Only Ballot) voter. The dynamic is of interest, but we have no explanation for current Military : Temporary (Federal Only Ballot) parity.
4) The total number of voters is relatively small, BUT ... if the voters are concentrated in the Congressional Districts where the races are close ... the numbers may be sufficient to influence the outcome of a close race.
A couple of quick points:
Military voters are defined as US military personnel and their family members who are US citizens and residing more than 25 miles away from their legal "home of record" residence.
Overseas Civilians are defined as US citizens who are located outside the United States.
1) The ratio of Military to Overseas Civilian voters was 3:2 during 2020 early voting (about 36000 military voters, about 24000 overseas civilians); the current 2024 early voting ratio about 2:1 Overseas Civilians (16000) to Military (9000)
2) 80% of the 2024 early voting voters characterized as "Overseas Civilians" are receiving mail via a US Postal Service office within the United States (i.e., the voters are mischaracterized as Overseas Civilians).
3) The ratio of Military to Temporary (Federal Only Ballot) voters was 4:1 in 2020 - 4 military voters to 1 Temporary (Federal Only Ballot) voter. The dynamic is of interest, but we have no explanation for current Military : Temporary (Federal Only Ballot) parity.
4) The total number of voters is relatively small, BUT ... if the voters are concentrated in the Congressional Districts where the races are close ... the numbers may be sufficient to influence the outcome of a close race.